Sunday, October 24, 2004

the polls

I thought Keyes didn't believe them, but yet:
Remember, all we need to do is break through during the next two weeks to undecided voters in the expensive urban media markets of Chicago, Springfield, and St. Louis. This is money well-spent, because news "reporting" and the unreliability of the media's polling notwithstanding, a recent media survey reveals: In the "collar counties" (Lake, McHenry, DuPage, Will, Kane), the race is now a dead-heat (47-46 Obama).
You mean the poll from the Trib?
In the Senate contest, Democrat Barack Obama maintained a commanding lead over Republican Alan Keyes--66 percent to 19 percent, with 9 percent undecided. If there's any glimmer of good news in the numbers for Keyes it is that Obama's sizable advantage actually was slightly bigger in the September poll... In the race for Senate, Obama's 47 percent lead in his effort to take the seat of outgoing Republican Sen. Peter Fitzgerald signals what could become the biggest Senate blowout in state history. After passing a constitutional amendment, Illinois began direct election of U.S. senators in 1914. Since then, the most lopsided race in Illinois was in 1920, when Republican William B. McKinley defeated Democrat Peter Waller by 67 percent to 27 percent. The biggest Senate landslides in more recent years were in 1986 when Democrat Alan Dixon defeated Republican Judy Koehler by 31.4 percent of the vote and in 1990 when incumbent Democrat Paul Simon held onto his seat by 30.2 percent over GOP nominee Lynn Martin. The Keyes campaign clearly has had difficulty gaining traction. Even the losers in Illinois' historic election routs generally have managed to snag about 30 percent of the vote. The poll suggests Keyes may be on track to get much less than that.
Then, there's the open letter to Keyes' supporters that says "Great news for Keyes supporters" which shouts:
GREAT NEWS -- Alan EXCEEDED the already high expectations of viewers in the second candidate debate for U.S. Senate from Illinois!!
How are we supposed to know, because Bill Pascoe tells us so:
Keyes 2004 campaign manager Bill Pascoe, reacting to Alan's clear win in Thursday night's first televised debate against Barack Obama, released the following statement: "The first televised debate is history, and the result is as clear as it was after last week's radio debate: Alan Keyes won this debate hands down.